We’re back in action with another late parlay today. We don’t really have many stellar arms going today, so if you’re an over man, that might be something to look into. Without wasting any more time, here are tonights parlay picks:
Royals @ Astros (-300)
Keuchel gets the ball for the Astros and while he hasn’t been his usual dominant self as of late, his last outing was still a fucking GEM against these same Royals. On the flipside, in Duffy’s last outing (coincidentally against these Astros!), he was shelled for 6 runs across 6 innings. Duffy seems to do well against the weaker offenses in the league, but hasn’t shown an ability to get through tougher lineups. Teams like the Yankees, Angels, Indians, Red Sox, and these same Astros have brutalized Duffy whenever he toes the hill against them. Keuchel may be inconsistent right now, but he still has ace level stuff with the run support of those Astros bats. Lock it in.
Marlins @ Rockies (-230)
Jon Gray has absolutely electric stuff. Don’t let the mediocre ERA or record let you think otherwise. When this kid is on his game, he’s borderline unhittable. Only issue is, Gray might be the most inconsistent pitcher in the bigs and that ace version of him might only show up once every 3-4 starts. Granted he pitches at Coors and that probably doesn’t help his case, but make no mistake, if Gray can figure it out and consistently harness his A+ stuff, he’ll be a force to be reckoned with.
Meanwhile, the Marlins absolutely blow. Chen gets the ball away at Coors and will almost certainly get lit up tonight by the Rockies offense since he really isn’t anything special these days. Although Gray has been shaky as of late, expect him to do enough to pick up the win behind a big night for the Colorado bats.
Blue Jays @ Angels (-153)
Estrada gets the ball for the Blue Jays and has been surprisingly strong since the month of June began. Estrada has actually faced some of the best bats in the league this month and has come away just about unscathed (save for a L to the Yankees after 6 innings of 1 run ball).
Heaney toes the rubber for the Angels and has posted a pretty damn solid year for himself. While a bit inconsistent at times, Heaney has shown the ability to go deep into ballgames and remain effective. He recently tossed a complete game and has gone 8+ innings on 3 separate occasions now this year. Heaney shows up against big bats too, throwing well against powerhouse squads like the Astros and Yankees.
This game likely looks to be shaping up to be the pitchers duel of the evening. Although Estrada has looked like his old self in the month of June, give me Heaney with the Angel bats behind him (by Angel bats I mean Mike Trout) at home.
Padres (+110) @ Giants
Richard gets the ball for the Padres going up against Stratton at home for the Giants. Stratton has been the definition of average this year, typically never getting shelled, but more often than not giving up somewhere in the ballpark of 3 runs across 5-6 innings. Richard has been hot for the Padres as of late, who have won his last 4 starts on the back of 4 very solid outings from Richard.
Statton should go out and give 5-6 innings of 3 run ball, but look for Richard to have another strong outing and build on his recent successes. San Diego should have the lead after 7 innings or so. As long as the Padres bullpen can keep the game together in the later innings, this one should go the Padres way.
All in all, that makes tonight’s picks:
- Astros -300
- Rockies -230
- Angels – 153
- Padres +110